Another week of NFL football and another dominant run by betting underdogs in Week 6. Heading into the Monday Nighter, NFL underdogs are 53-34-1 ATS – covering over 60 percent of the time – including a 10-2 ATS record Sunday.
Blindly betting the dogs has been enough to turn a solid profit in 2017, but if you isolated these live pups you’d be barking all the way to the bank. Just make sure not to bet them at our blacklisted sportsbooks. These are the best underdog bets of the pro football season so far:
Chicago Bears (4-2 ATS, 4-2 ATS as underdog)
The Bears have received the points in all six of their games so far this season, covering the spread in four of those games while winning outright as an underdog twice. Chicago recently went into Baltimore as a 5.5-point pup and came away with a 27-24 overtime victory.
The backbone of the Bears has been the defense, which is allowing only 303 yards per game – sixth lowest in the league – including a pass defense shutting down opposing QBs to 198.3 yards a contest. And with the offense seeing an uptick since rookie quarterback Mitch Trubisky took over under center, Chicago may continue to hold its underdog value during the upcoming schedule. The Bears host Carolina and visit the Saints in the next two weeks, and will likely get the points in both those matchups.
San Francisco 49ers (4-2 ATS, 4-2 ATS as underdog)
The 49ers’ win/loss record would indicate that San Francisco is just as terrible as people projected at the start of the season, entering Week 7 at 0-6. However, measured against the oddsmakers’ expectations, the Niners have been one of the biggest overachievers of the 2017 season. San Francisco has been a pup in all six of those games – getting an average of just under a touchdown per game from bookies – but has lost five of those games by three points or less.
The 49ers have had a “bend but don’t break” approach on defense, allowing 375.2 yards against per game – 28th in the NFL. That yardage has only equaled to 24.3 points against per game. The Niners defense has done a good job forcing foes to settle for field goals instead of touchdowns in the red zone. On offense, things are getting a little shaky. Running back Carlos Hyde continues to produce but the 49ers find themselves with a QB issues, benching starter Brian Hoyer for rookie C.J. Beathard in Week 6. San Francisco does get three of the next four games at home, starting with a disarrayed Dallas team Sunday.
New York Giants (3-3 ATS, 3-1 ATS as underdog)
There are a few teams sitting at 3-1 ATS as underdogs this season: New York, Buffalo, Jacksonville, and Houston. But only the Giants will continue to get the points. Case in point: those other three teams are pegged as favorites in Week 7 while the Giants catch six points from the Seahawks at home. No one saw the G-Men’s win in Denver Sunday night coming, entering that game as a 13.5-point dog. New York also covered in road games at Tampa Bay and Philadelphia.
That said, Sunday night was an anomaly. The Giants – especially their defense – got up to play with so much talent missing on the offensive side of the ball. New York picked off two passes, one of which for a touchdown. Those defensive scores can’t be depended on by N.Y. and with the Seahawks bringing their stingy defense to East Rutherford this weekend, the Giants will struggle to hit the scoreboard. Luckily, Week 7 is followed by a bye, which should help New York pick up the pieces and game plan for the second half of the season.