NRG Stadium will host a pair of 2-8 bottom dwellers when the visiting New York Jets (2-8 ATS) take on the Houston Texans (5-5 ATS). Houston opened as a field-goal favorite with a total of 46.5.
Zach Wilson will once again get his shot to lead the Jets and professed, “I feel 100% confident in my ability to go out there and play football.” In his absence, the Jets led the league with 346 yards passing and 10 TD’s in their last four behind Mike White, Joe Flacco and Josh Johnson. Unfortunately, Flacco and White will miss the game due to COVID restrictions; Josh Johnson has been elevated to official backup status.
Prior to Wilson’s knee injury, he had just 4 TD’s versus nine picks. Wilson has been sacked 19 times, compiling an average 63.5 QB Rating while completing 57% of his passes.
The Jets D had their best showing in weeks, surrendering 388 total yards and 24 points in the last week’s loss to the Dolphins. The Jets had previously given up an average of 43 ppg in their four games prior — including 54 to New England.
A player to watch is Jet’s rookie WR Elijah Moore, who has progressed nicely of late. The Jets have lost the last three SU in the head-to-head matchup (1-1-1 ATS); the last meeting went to Houston 29-22 in Dec, 2018 at the Meadowlands.
NFL betting minds were once again boggled when the Texans strolled out of Tennessee with a W as a double-digit underdog. Houston managed only 190 total yards on offense (420 for Tenn), but the D was stellar in breaking their 8-game losing streak. The Texans had a franchise-record 4 INT’s and two sacks to help seal the win.
Tyrod Taylor had 107 passing and ran for 2 scores vs. the Titans. However, he was unable to find the Texans’ best offensive weapon in WR Brandin Cooks. Cooks’ failed to record a single catch, and that’s eye-opening considering he’s been responsible for nearly 25% of the team’s total yards from scrimmage this season. It’s unlikely the Texans will win another game without Cooks playing his usual role. The good news is, he’ll be running routes versus the NFL’s worst defense, which surrenders more than 280 ypg via the pass.
The Jets have lost 9 of 10 games ATS following a game where they gave up 250 yds passing; six of the last 7 Jet games have gone OVER the total.
OVER is 5-1 in Houston’s last six homes games, but the Texans have played UNDER in 4 of their last 5 games overall.
Bestonlinesportsbooks.com has a 2-star pick on this game.
bestonlinesportsbooks.com has a 2-star pick on this game.
bestonlinesportsbooks.com simulation model, which simulates every NFL game thousands’ of times, is up +31.45 units over the last three years. We have released 249 total games with 136 WINS and 113 losses for a win % of 54.62%. A $100 bettor of our NFL would have netted a profit of $3,145 and, a $1,000 bettor would have won $31,400. We have released only a handful of football games so far this season. Now is the time to sign-up and start winning.
| Title: The Visiting Jets and Zack Wilson Look for First Road Win at Houston
| Author: Steven Miller
| Date: Nov 25, 2021